MGT640Topic4ProjectRiskAssessmentProblemsTEMPLATE.xls

    Project Risk

    MGT 640 Topic 4, Project Risk Assessment Problems SOLUTION
    ID Task Optimistic Duration (days) Most Likely Duration (days) Pessimistic Duration (days) PERT Expected Duration (days) Critical Path Variance
    1 TECHNOLOGY REFRESH (VERSION B) PROJECT
    2 Initiating
    3 Meet with key stakeholders 2 3 12 4
    4 Finalize statement of work 2 10 15 10
    5 Secure project team leads 2 2 4 2
    6 Finalize stakeholder register 2 10 13 9
    7 Develop project charter 2 5 17 7
    8 Finalize project charter 2 4 8 4
    9 Planning
    10 Scope Planning
    11 Requirements
    12 Develop/finalize functional requirements 10 18 28 18
    13 Develop/finalize hardware requirements 12 16 18 16
    14 Develop/finalize software requirements 10 16 30 17
    15 Develop/finalize requirements traceability matrix 11 14 28 16
    16 Finalize project deliverables 2 2 3 2
    17 Develop scope statement 4 9 10 8
    18 Finalize/Update WBS 2 3 5 3
    19 Schedule (Time) and Cost Planning
    20 Finalize hardware/software costs 2 4 5 4
    21 Update activities and duration estimates 6 12 14 11
    22 Human Resource Planning
    23 Finalize resource requirements 6 10 14 10
    24 Finalize project costs 4 11 19 11
    25 Identify training requirements 2 4 5 4
    26 Complete training activities 6 12 14 11
    27 Quality Planning
    28 Determine impacted quality processes 2 3 4 3
    29 Finalize quality management plan 2 10 18 10
    30 Risk Planning
    31 Update project risks 3 6 12 7
    32 Draft risk register 2 3 8 4
    33 Finalize risk management plan 2 4 7 4
    34 Finalize Project Plan
    35 Finalize communications management plan 2 3 4 3
    36 Finalize procurement management plan 2 6 14 7
    37 Finalize stakeholder management plan 2 2 5 3
    38 Finalize project schedule/cost baseline 2 13 19 12
    39 Finalize project plan 2 5 16 6
    40 Obtain approval for project plan 2 4 7 4
    41 Executing
    42 Hardware
    43 Procure hardware from suppliers 10 24 32 23
    44 Software
    45 Obtain software OS licenses 6 11 20 12
    46 Obtain software application licenses 6 8 17 9
    47 Pilot Testing
    48 Setup test area 1 2 2 2
    49 Load software onto pilot machines 4 6 8 6
    50 Validate functionality 3 6 8 6
    51 Deployment
    52 Configure production hardware 10 25 33 24
    53 Deploy production hardware 11 19 23 18
    54 Load software to deployed hardware 12 17 19 17
    55 Testing
    56 Validate startup on deployed hardware 4 9 18 10
    57 Perform OS testing 4 8 17 9
    58 Perform application testing 4 19 28 18
    59 Obtain formal sign-off from users 6 17 24 16
    60 Monitoring and Controlling
    61 Formal Customer Review 1
    62 Hold formal customer review after project plan approval 1 3 4 3
    63 Update project plan 4 10 20 11
    64 Formal Customer Review 2
    65 Obtain updates regarding key deliverables from project team 5 18 22 17
    66 Hold formal customer review after pilot testing 5 7 11 7
    67 Update project plan 4 8 15 9
    68 Closing
    69 External
    70 Finalize procurement with suppliers 5 18 24 17
    71 Customer Approval
    72 Hold final customer review 1 2 2 2
    73 Prepare/submit final customer report 3 6 10 6
    74 Audit against contractual deliverables 3 5 8 5
    75 Obtain final customer approval 2 3 4 3
    76 Internal
    77 Hold lessons learned meeting 1 1 1 1
    78 Update final internal report 4 6 12 7
    79 Hold project team celebration event 1 1 2 1
    Expected Project Finish Time: Total Critical Path Variance: days
    days
    Total Critical Path Standard Deviation: days
    Probability of finishing the project in 287 days is
    or
    %
    Probability of finishing the project in 273 days is
    or
    %

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