You will type answers to questions in Word as much as possible. If an answer requires graphs or
    equations you will handwrite those two parts of an answer. Be careful to graph things clearly and in
    detail. Handwritten equations should be clearly and carefully written
    1.
    A. Using the IS-MP-FE and AD-A-LRAS model, GRAPH an economy operating at a point
    where output is at its full employment level (Y=YFE), the real rate of interest is at its natural rate
    (r=rN) and is at the desired rate of inflation (Hint: This is a point of GE, general equilibrium)
    B. Starting from a position of GE, suppose the economy is hit by excessive optimism. In other
    words, people expect higher future income and firms expect higher future marginal product of
    capital. However, the central bank recognizes that there was no change in the level of full
    employment output or in their target for inflation. What would the central bank do to keep
    these variables operating at these desired levels? Illustrate your answer to this question with a
    new graph which shows the initial GE, what excessive optimism does to the graph, and how the
    central banks response keeps output and inflation at desired levels.
    C. Starting from a position of GE, assume there is a technological improvement. Suppose the
    central bank recognizes precisely the change in the level of full employment output that has
    occurred, and there is no change in the target for inflation. What would the central bank do to
    keep these variables operating at these desired levels? Illustrate your answer to this question
    with a new graph which shows the initial GE, what the change in technology does to the graph,
    and how the central banks response keeps output and inflation at the desired levels.
    2. An inflation targeting policy would attempt to keep inflation at some constant desired rate and
    not be concerned about anything else. Correct answers to Parts B and C of Question 1 illustrate
    possible reasons why many central banks across the world have opted to target inflation. These
    two analytical results imply that targeting inflation will keep output at its full employment level
    in response to some of the most important shocks to an economy. This is a significant result
    because even if the central bank didnt know the actual level of full employment output it would
    still be able to achieve that level of output simply by holding inflation at a constant rate.
    A. What difficulties does a central bank face in trying to implement a policy of attempting to
    control the rate of inflation? (for this part of the question ignore the effects of unexpected
    movements in the marginal product of labor, as these will be dealt with later)
    B. Supply shocks, that is unexpected movements in the marginal product of labor, also affect
    the economy. Explain a particular sort of event could happen to an economy that makes the
    marginal product of labor higher than it was expected to be.
    C. Using the assumption from part B and the AD-A-LRAS model, GRAPH and explain what
    happens to output when that shock occurs. In this case, does implementing an inflation
    target a monetary policy that keeps inflation keeping it constant at the target rate – make
    it easy, somewhat difficult, or impossible to maintain output at its full employment level?
    3. A linear version of the IS Curve can be algebraically written as:
    Y = A br
    where A represents all the things that shift the IS Curve (factors other than real output, Y, and
    the real interest rate, r, for Cd
    , Id
    , NXd
    , and G), and b is the interest sensitivity of spending, arising
    from interest sensitivities of each component in desired spending.
    The MP curve can be written as:
    r = Q + cY + d
    The real rate reacts to real output and the inflation rate (), with c and d being positive
    parameters, and Q summarizes the effects on r of all target variables in the central bank interest
    rate rule.
    A. Derive algebraically an equation for the aggregate demand curve. Does inflation have a
    negative effect on output in this equation (as it does in our lecture slides discussion of
    aggregate demand)?
    B. In a liquidity trap, the central bank has lowered the nominal interest rate to zero. Combining
    this with the Fisher Equation you get: r = – (technically it is expected inflation, but to
    simplify we will drop the expectation). Derive the aggregate demand curve equation under
    this assumption.
    C. Using the aggregate demand curve implied in Part B, draw the AD-A-LRAS graph assuming
    the economy starts off in GE (at full employment). In your graph, the slope of the aggregate
    demand curve is quantitatively larger (hence should be drawn steeper) than the slope of the
    inflation adjustment curve. Suppose that for some reason the aggregate demand curve
    shifts to the left. Show that shift in your graph. Is the economy in recession? When inflation
    begins to adjust will this push output in the direction of full employment or will output be
    pushed further away from full employment? Please illustrate clearly in your graph.
    D. What sort of macroeconomic policy could work for the situation in Part C to bring the
    economy back to GE? Monetary policy, fiscal policy, or both could be used? Simulative or
    contractionary policy? (Hint: Look at the graph and think about the derivation). Explain how
    you justify your policy recommendation.
    4. A common assumption in macroeconomics is that the natural rate of unemployment and the full
    employment level of output are unaffected by inflation. However, there are numerous theories
    for which higher inflation may raise output and lower unemployment in the long run, and some
    empirical evidence to support these effects. One such theory assumes nominal wages are
    downwardly rigid. In other words, firms may be in a position to want to lower nominal wages
    but there is some market force that does not allow them to. In fact there is ample empirical
    evidence that labor markets behave in this way.
    A. To get a sense of this mechanism, first GRAPH a Classical labor market model with a labor
    supply curve, a labor demand curve, and a unique equilibrium point.
    B. Suppose for some reason the real wage is above equilibrium. Combine our earlier
    assumption that the nominal wage cant fall with the assumption that the price level cant
    rise and GRAPH the resulting real wage line. How do these quantities of employment, labor
    supply, and unemployment relate to those quantities when the labor market is in the
    Classical equilibrium (for each one is it higher, lower, the same, ambiguously related)?
    C. This analysis can be extended to when the price level rises. With fixed nominal wages, the
    more price rises the lower is the real wage. Therefore unemployment is lower. The faster
    price rises the greater the rate of inflation. Hence, this theory yields an inverse relationship
    between unemployment and inflation in equilibrium (or the long run).
    Can our equilibrium labor market model that we derived from wage setting and price
    setting explain this effect? For that model, (see the slides) the natural rate of
    unemployment is linearly related to the markup (mu) and factors that affect wage
    bargaining (z) and a positive parameter (a) as follows:

    Assume wage bargaining power is negatively related to the inflation rate:
    z = H – e
    where e is a positive parameter. H represents all other factors that positively affect the
    wage bargaining power of workers.
    We could show, using the production function (in logarithmic form) and an identity
    between labor supply, employment and the unemployment rate that output (y) can be
    written as a negative function of the unemployment rate:
    y = J (1-)u
    with J representing all other factors in the production function (capital, labor supply, and
    productivity) and is the parameter from the Cobb-Douglas production function. Full
    employment output occurs when unemployment is equal to its natural rate.
    How does an increase in inflation affect the natural unemployment rate and full
    employment output? (positive, negative, zero, or ambiguous). For each of these you must
    derive relevant expressions and discuss them. And finally, does the real wage decline with
    higher inflation as our first graphical analysis suggests it should? (Hint: to answer this very
    last question use economic reasoning. Deriving an equation is tedious and unnecessary)

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